Al-Bahir Journal for Engineering and Pure Sciences


The challenge of forecasting asphalt concrete demand in the Karbala governorate is the subject of this study. Population and number of vehicles in Karbala are considered among the independent (explanatory) variables taken into consideration. These explanatory variables ' historical data have been gathered and examined. The historical data of each explanatory variable has been linked to the historical demand for asphalt concrete in the governorate using regression techniques in the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) program version 26.

A model to forecast the governorate's demand for asphalt concrete has been developed based on these factors. The forecasts have been determined for the years 2023 to 2032. According to the analysis, the demand for asphalt concrete in the Karbala governorate in 2032 will be 1,718,227 Tonne.